Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 219.338992 246.620268 276.783182 312.747795 354.646389 402.137906 460.354984
2025-03-23 179.267975 215.403688 258.810392 315.362971 387.938049 479.108101 604.169036
2025-03-30 153.763627 192.456616 241.399754 308.890047 401.203137 525.562873 710.217382
2025-04-06 137.337773 177.620361 230.752012 307.534869 418.358447 576.935808 829.545387
2025-04-13 120.622121 159.958775 213.543762 293.876767 414.895088 596.748986 903.868180
2025-04-20 114.435845 155.725764 213.887474 304.517534 447.442817 673.975862 1082.272523
2025-04-27 109.780060 152.975081 215.734093 317.135557 484.170957 762.964145 1298.990006
2025-05-04 102.813882 146.070992 210.540869 317.894856 501.361061 821.469638 1472.822015
2025-05-11 94.800912 136.840888 200.823624 310.070963 502.640526 851.598103 1597.538813
2025-05-18 88.156072 129.137594 192.740213 303.930157 505.775558 885.125663 1736.183596
2025-05-25 85.344520 127.163015 193.552377 312.863291 537.126867 977.468629 2025.541821
2025-06-01 80.904880 122.218680 189.026910 311.842329 549.461979 1033.533129 2245.667345
2025-06-08 75.725839 115.820559 181.746048 305.465205 551.277866 1069.501619 2431.055426
2025-06-15 72.251816 112.008158 178.578619 306.382178 567.930955 1141.049887 2732.266069
2025-06-22 67.992468 106.564213 172.115319 300.330524 569.221631 1177.810441 2948.952675
2025-06-29 64.838849 102.792110 168.304427 298.997341 580.338428 1239.754026 3260.714480
2025-07-06 60.223846 96.203456 158.955488 285.805254 563.723502 1230.803076 3349.719584
2025-07-13 59.264144 95.957183 161.146808 296.085327 601.305093 1366.565766 3965.145373
2025-07-20 58.579448 96.140241 164.123715 308.272379 645.172393 1529.129598 4752.530036
2025-07-27 56.489653 93.642014 161.820188 309.005609 661.609036 1619.512660 5313.007625
2025-08-03 53.562968 89.441491 155.950885 301.449588 656.465079 1646.415555 5629.546248
2025-08-10 51.027092 85.832693 151.011226 295.517956 654.740802 1683.557312 6010.567844
2025-08-17 50.262947 85.494581 152.501516 304.146488 692.149057 1850.941254 7082.494876